Tuesday, February 12, 2008

5

Who Makes Money Trading Forex

Practically everybody entering trading arena has one objective to make money. While there are some people who trade for challenge or other “purist” reasons, they are decisive minority. For almost all traders, pulling money out of the markets is a primary motivation.

We have all seen TV infomercials that make it sound so easy. What you need to do is to attend some seminar, purchase a piece of software with some crossing lines or colorful arrows. Just follow these buy and sell signals and you are on your way to untold reaches. Can it really be that simple?

Reality is quite different. There are statistics claiming that 90-95% of traders lose money. How accurate this number is, may be debatable, but what is not, is the fact that more people lose money than make it.

These kind of statements often stress they apply to small speculators or beginner traders. This could be understandable. Most people get themselves into trading in a haphazard way. They don't commit enough time to education, follow questionable advice, luck discipline, are insufficiently funded. The list can go on.

Than there are professional traders. Money managers, hedge funds, bank traders, CTA's. How well do they do trading Forex? Logic would dictate this group of traders makes a lot of money. After all they employ best talent, have best market access, use sophisticated trading tools, have best trading terms, certainly are not under capitalized.

In other words, these market participants are best positioned for consistent profitability. Strangely enough, that doesn't guarantee superior results. Barclay, well known financial powerhouse, compiles Barclay's Currency Trader Index (CTI). Data for this index comprises of results from 114 managed money programs, both spot Forex and currency futures.

Since 2000 there was only one year when this index gained more than 10% till 11.08% in 2003. Index suggests that money managers as a group have been losing money for last few years. In 2005 results were 1.21%, 2006 witnessed a loss of -0.12%. Returns for 2007 to date are not much more impressive, just 0.89% gain through August.

The outlook for the rest of the year is no better. Other indexes tracking currency trading funds show similar results- marginal gains at best. These results maybe shocking to many people. If the best positioned market participants can't achieve meaningful returns, is it possible at all to extract profits from Forex trading?

What chance does a small speculator have if large players don't seem to get anywhere?

Well, smaller traders do have some advantages over large institutions. While every trader should create and stick to his trading plan, he/she is not bound by myriad of rules and limitations that institutional trader must adhere to. For one, leverage.

Money managers are not allowed to use large leverage. They may be limited to how big percentage of total funds can put in any one market. Individual trader is not. Most importantly, perhaps, money management companies can not just cash out 100% and sit on the sidelines when things don't go right. Individuals have this luxury, which, at times, maybe the smartest thing to do.

With proper market education and solid trading plan, every market participant can be successful. Outside of extremely short term scalping, where institutions have an edge in cost of trading, disciplined and patient individual can be the one who makes money. On regular basis.

Monday, January 21, 2008

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Which is The Right Forex Trading System

Learning Forex trading is not a simple task, but in no way it is difficult either. Forex trading is all about regulation, willpower and determination. Leveraging your strength could be extravagant by organizing the apt Forex trading strategy.

You may find hundreds and thousands of Forex trading strategies out there. Logic would tell us that there is a foreign currency strategy out there which leverages our strengths. All forex trading strategies use a variety of indicators and combinations. These indicators and studies are just calculating support and resistance and trend in the Forex trading market.

Which forex trading strategy actually works?
First, we should know who we are as forex traders. Does our character fit the pip sniper mode or does our nature draw us more towards swing forex trading. Finding your trading character would simply mean studying and practicing the different time frames and related with Forex trading strategies.

Over time you might also notice a higher level of achievement and or ease trading one style over others. You need to pay attention! The forex market is uttering you where your cleverness is more competent of extract reliable profits for the market. This is why journaling is so imperative to your every day forex trading.

Secondly, if in case you are using some body else’s forex strategy, a most of us are, organize this strategy with no change until you fully and totally recognize all aspect of the strategy through back testing and as well with some real life experience.

Don’t fall into entrap of jumping from one strategy to strategy or mixing different strategies when the one you are using does not lead to instant success. This is only a guideline for disaster.
Take the time to actually understand the forex trading strategy.

Study the components independently so a deeper understanding of the strategic mechanisms would be mastered. If you recognize the components, internalize its use, and make consistent profits into your forex trading account, then you have your own Forex trading strategy.

It does not really matter what the professionals say, your account balance is the final judge and judges for your Forex trading strategy.

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6 Common Errors That Cause The Equity Wipeout

You can make money using Forex charts but most traders lose and the errors they make are listed below. You can make a lot of money using forex charts but you must use them correctly, so here are the errors you must avoid.

Trading Invalid Data
You need to use data that can help you calculate the odds and that means using enough data to allow you to do this. This is common sense, yet a huge number of novice traders still try day trading it doesn’t work period.

All volatility is too random in short time frames and support and resistance levels are meaningless. You can’t get the odds in your favor and you can’t win.

Predicting Without Confirmation
Perhaps the most common mistake of all novice traders simply love predicting but this is really relying on hope or guessing and in any money making venture, if you rely on hope you will lose. For example, instead of buying a dip to support and hoping it holds, you need to see prices turn up and confirm support has held before executing your trading signal.

If you have never used momentum indicators before, then you need to learn about them and use them and two of the best are the stochastic and Relative Strength Index if you don't know them learn how to use them.

Not Buying Breakouts
Most traders are obsessed with “buying low and selling high”. If they see prices breakout above a new high, they want to wait for a pullback to get on board. Generally when prices break to the upside above strong previous resistance, they don’t pull back.

You need to learn to buy breakouts if you want to catch the best trends due to this fact, most major trends start from new market highs NOT market lows. So if you don’t buy breakouts you are missing out on the best potential trading opportunities. “Buy high sell higher” is the key so remember it.

Not Being Objective
If you are too subjective your opinions get involved and so do your emotions so try and stay objective. Avoid indicators that involve too much subjectivity, such as Elliot wave, cycles or any other indicator that is not objective.

Using Indicators Incorrectly
A good example would be the huge amount of traders who buy dips to moving averages. It’s a lagging indicator. Or buy and sell the outer Bollinger bands it’s a volatility indicator! Neither should be used to enter trades on their own. The above are common misuses and there are many more.

Using To Many Indicators and Curve Fitting
If you use too many indicators n your Forex charts to generate trading signals you will lose. In forex technical analysis simple systems work best, as there are fewer elements to break in the brutal ever changing market. Less is more when using indicators and devising your forex trading system.

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A Simple Business For Huge Profits

This home based business is simple to learn and can be run in around an hour a day with no overhead and best of all it grants you cash to invest, sounds to good to be true? Read on. Imagine a business where if you have $1,000 you can immediately get your hands on $100 – 200,000 to invest and leverage your business.

That’s a huge advantage if you want to build wealth and it’s available when you trade currencies. You may be saying hang on I can’t do that.

Well consider the following and you may well change your mind.
Forex trading can be learned by anyone even those traders with no financial experience. In a famous experiment legendary trader Richard Dennis taught a group of traders to trade in 14 days the result? They went on to make him $100 million. The fact is trading Forex can be learned by anyone wishing to do so.

Other advantages of this business are :
  • You can operate it in an hour a day or less. You have no expensive overheads or staff all you need is a computer and an internet connection. There is never a recession, as one currency rises another must fall, creating constant opportunities for profit.
  • You can take holidays and breaks when you want.
And the big advantage :
You can leverage any cash you put in dramatically to seek bigger gains.

How Do I get started?
You will find a lot of free information on the net, you can study the advantages and see if this business is for you. The key to this business is risk control. Leverage can of course work for or against you, so you need to study it and use it wisely.

Currencies move in trends which reflect the health of the economy they represent by locking into and running these trends you can make big profits. On the other hand you must time your entry and take losses quickly. If you can achieve the above and you have a sound simple method, you are on your way to building wealth in the world’s best home business.

The Key To This Business Is
Mindset and methods are easy to learn, but when dealing with leverage you must be disciplined and not let your emotions get involved this is the fundamental error most traders make and they lose.

The fact is most traders don’t treat it like a business and simply let their losses get out of control if you avoid this error you can win. Currency trading is fun, exciting and easy to learn and represents one of the few ways for investor’s to start with small stakes and build huge wealth quickly.

Take Charge of Your Financial Destiny
If you are fed up with affiliate deals or trying to make money from ad sense or the net consider this business it has the possibility to change your financial future forever and can be learned by anyone prepared to put in the time and effort and succeed.

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Why The Most Traders Accept Big Profit

This may seem an odd headline as your probably thinking all traders want big profits so will accept them this is not so. Many traders are very often right about the big trends but fail to make money from them.

Why? Let’s find out. Many traders have excellent forex methods and are right about the long term trends but cannot hold them due to the emotion of fear.

So what do they fear?
They fear of losing the profit that they have in an open position is something all novice trader struggle with. The bigger the profit gets the greater the temptation is to snatch it before it gets away.

As volatility eats into open equity, the temptation to take the profit becomes too much and the trader banks it. Missing the Huge Profits and What Might Have Been Of course the trade then goes on to pile up $20 till 30,000 or more in profits. The trader knows he should be in but did not have the mental discipline to stay in the market.

It’s easy to say holding a trend is not hard just stay disciplined but that’s only if you have never done it. Believe me its hard even for experienced traders. Money is on the line in many instances big money and emotions start to take control.

Over Coming Fear When Trend Following
Of course you need to over come these emotions and learn how to overcome the psychological trap of fear. These traders could turn mediocre or average gains into huge gains and the way to do this is to have confidence in the method you are using. Even if you are following someone else’s methodology you will only be able to hang onto a trade if you have confidence in it.
  1. Confidence in your method is essential and you should know how and why it works and will give you the big profits.
  2. Hold stops back at entry. If it’s a long term trend, don’t trail too quickly or closely that will see your trade get taken out by normal market volatility.
  3. Accept the fact that open equity will draw down sometimes by several thousands of dollars per day don’t tick watch look once a day only, and hold with your stop in place.
  4. Learn to love risk and see the short term draw down as inevitable to get your hands on the bigger pot of profits at the end of the trend.
  5. Study the big trends historically and match yours with some to give you an idea of the target you can expect. Keep in mind if you trend follow and you catch a big trend it can last for months or years and run for a 7 dollar profit.
Confidence Discipline and the eyes on the bigger prize
You can do it it just takes a mindset that is focused on making big gains and ignoring short term volatility. It’s hard but if you can have confidence and discipline, you can hold on for bigger profits without the fear of losing.

Monday, January 7, 2008

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Build For One Big Gain With 3 Steps

Building your own currency trading system is far easier than most forex traders think it is and here we will look at building one in three simple steps that will give you a trading system you can make big gains with quickly.

Building your own currency trading system is essential to your success as no one else will help you get rich your on your own. All the successful traders do it on their own success comes from within not from someone else and as most of the systems sold simply don’t work.

Lets get started and build a simple robust currency trading system for big profits. The first think you need to decide when devising your forex trading strategy is to take into account your own personality. Are you a patient trader or do you like more action?

If you are a patient trader long term trend following is good if you like action then try forex swing trading (under no circumstances what so ever try day trading it doesn’t work) once you have decided you need to build your trading system.

Support Resistance and Breakouts
Most profitable currency trading systems use support and resistance and aim to sell into resistance and buy into support. You can do the above but you also need to learn to buy breakouts to new highs as it’s the most profitable form of trading.

It’s a fact that most big currency trends start From New Market HIGHS NOT market lows. If you go with these breaks you will catch some of the best high odds and profitable trades. In your currency trading system learn to do both and you will make bigger profits overall.

Use Momentum
Most currency trading systems fail because they try and predict where prices are going and if you predict your hoping and the FX markets don’t reward you for hope. For example, a forex trader will buy into support and simply hope it holds however, you need to wait for CONFIRMATION that any level of support holds before executing any trading signal, this way you are trading with price momentum and have the odds on your side.

On the other hand if you have a break of resistance make sure price momentum supports price momentum has turned down. If you are unfamiliar with price momentum you need to lean as you wont win without it (check our other articles) and read up on these great indicators :

Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic, Average Directional Movement (ADX). Forex trading all about trading with the odds and if you use momentum you will achieve this and enjoy currency trading success.

Running Profits and Cutting Losses
Getting a method together is relatively simple. The hard part is money management and battling the big problem that all traders face volatility. Many currency trading systems are right about market direction but their trading signals get stopped out by volatility.

In most cases this is because traders have stops within the market noise of the trade, or trail stops too quickly. When deciding on money management for your trading system make sure that you do not try and restrict risk to much or you will create it and guarantee you get stopped out and lose.

Use these 3 guidelines when doing your money management
  • Risk reasonable amounts per trade up to 20 %
  • Do not trail stops to close you will have to give back a bit of profit
  • Study the volatility of the currency (learn standard deviation) and make sure that stop takes this in to account
To Simple To Make Money?
It’s a fact that simple forex trading systems work better than complicated ones as their more robust and have fewer elements to break than complicated ones Furthermore, if you build your own currency trading system you will understand it and this will lead to the confidence to apply it with discipline.

If you don’t have confidence and discipline to apply your method you have no method! The difference between winners and losers is not so much the method they use but how they cope with profits and loses.

If you take calculated risks at the right time and are aware of volatility, you can make big gains with a simple currency trading system and trading is all about making money and a system based upon the above will achieve this.

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All Fact You Need To Know

Before you attempt to day trade or buy a day trading system, there are 3 facts that you need to know, as they are critical for your day trading success so let’s look at them.

The Logic Of Day Trading Is Flawed
The logic of day trading is flawed and doesn’t work. Sure you see lots of people claim to make money at forex day trading but they don’t and you will never find a real time track record of gains we will come back to this point in a moment, for now lets look at why day trading cannot work.

The answer is simple :
FACT :
All short term volatility is random and prices can and do go anywhere in a day, so if this is true it’s impossible to win. Of course its common sense, there is no order to the markets in a just a few hours.

Think about it :
Millions of traders trade trillions of dollars and to say that you tell what this mass of people is going to do in a few hours is laughable. You can never win longer term day trading so let’s look at all those wonderful track records, that tell you to give up the day job and trade for a living.

Where is The Track Record?
You will see people present track records in day trading and they all have hypothetical or simulated written on them which means yep you guessed it there done in hindsight knowing the closing prices, How hard is that?

A child could do it and these track records are not worth the paper their written on. You never see a real one. The vendor knows it doesn’t work so he is not going to risk his money trading he can sell the system to you, make a guaranteed profit and you take the loss in the market. The above is what happens as these vendors trick traders with simulated track records and clever marketing copy.

Scams on the net
The Internet has bought lots of great information to forex traders but also a lot of scams and cons and the biggest con of all is anyone who tells you day trading works it doesn’t. Try and find a track record if you don't believe me and you wont find a real one if you do tell me about it, I have been searching for 20 years.

Finally
If you want to make money forex trading, you need to trade in time frames that mean you can get the odds on your side and this means trading longer term leave day trading to investors who are naive, lazy or just dreamers. If you want to win get the odds on your side and do your homework and avoid forex myths such as day trading.